Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, March 4

NRL

ROUND 1 - SUNDAY
MANLY @ NZ
ATS - WARRIORS -3.5 (x1.5) LOSS


I'm really big on the Warriors chances this year and I think they settle a score here against Manly in round 1. In case you didn't hear the Warriors were beaten in last years Grand Final by Manly. Now these Warriors have had a whole off season to think about that, they will be hungry to put that game well behind them and the best way to do that is take out some revenge and win the next chance you play!

Mt Smart is a tough place to play and These Warriors will take pride in defending their home ground. I expect young guns Locke and Johnson to only get better and Friend is a great get as he is just a workhorse!

I'm not sold on Manly for 2012, don't get me wrong I see them as a treat again but maybe a slight slip from their dominance in the last few seasons. A new voice could be a good thing but it may take time to get use too. Manly's prep for this one isn't ideal, having traveled to the UK then back to Aus and now off to NZ. Take the home side to win a cover. Warriors by 8!
(1.6u @ 1.95 @ Pinnacle)
*I know -2.5 is still around at some bookies but to me the that extra point doesn't serve that much difference. As we know key numbers here are 2 & 4. So either way falls into this bracket. How often do you see a game decided by 3? My point is which ever you take it is likely for you to win 4 or more will be the goal! I see value with the -3.5 @ 1.95 over -2.5 @ 1.85.
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