NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE FINAL

GAME 3
Miami @ Boston
ATS - HEAT +3 (x1.5) LOSS
2nd H - HEAT -3.5 (x1.5) WIN

Miami travel into Boston with the Celtics facing a must win game. Boston threw all they had at Miami last game and lead by as many as 15 through out the 2nd Q. With the game going to overtime and Miami finally prevailing despite the efforts from Rondo! That was one of the best performances I have seen.
I know this is do or die for the C's and they are back at home but I'm very concerned on the energy this group has used so far. Coming off a tough 7 game series the C's looked tired game one. 100 times better in the second but still failed. Now they must back it up off one days rest with all the starters playing monster minutes. Add to this Ray Allens clear injury struggles as well as Pierce. This sides depth is being tested with Bradley out already.

Something just tells me Miami has withstood Bostons best shot and their younger stars will have more energy down the stretch of this one. I like Miami tonight.
(1.7u @ 1.87 @ Pinnacle)
(1.7u @ 1.87 @ Sportingbet)

AFL

ROUND 10

Richmond @ St. Kilda
ML - SAINTS (x2) LOSS

The Saints are quietly moving along nicely sitting 5-4 with wins over Carlton and Sydney in the past 3 weeks impressive. But its the Tigers who are catching all the headlines of late, especially after demoralizing the Hawks last week. Still they are just 4-5 all be it against some tough opposition. But no they have to deal with something very unusual for the Tigers, expectation. They are now expected to win and have gone from the hunter to the hunted.

The Saints are Richmond's bogey team, no question. The last Richmond win over the Saints was way back in 2003! the did manage a draw at the G last year but here at Etihad the Saints have won their past 11 straight over the Tigers! St.kilda has an outstanding record here under the roof and the Tigers simply do not! If this was played at the MCG it would be a completely different story.

I cannot go past those figures alone, but like I said earlier the Tigers are now dealing with this expectation that is foreign to them. Coming off such a high last week could see a let down tonight against the unheralded Saints. Take St.Kilda SU tonight.
Saints by 21
(2.2u @ 1.90 @ Sportsbet)

SATURDAY

GWS @ Geelong
ATS - GIANTS +76.5 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 Centrebet)

Nth Melbourne @ Hawthorn
MARGIN - HAWKS 1-39 (x2) LOSS
(1.65u @ 2.2 @ Sportsbet)

Adelaide @ Fremantle
ATS - CROWS -8.5 (x2) WIN
(2.2u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Carlton @ Port Adelaide
ATS - BLUES -17.5 (x1) LOSS
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Sportingbet)

NRL

ROUND 13

Nth Queensland @ Gold Coast
ATS - COWBOYS -3.5 (x1) LOSS

Taking the Cowboys here, I simply feel they are a better side. Gold coast has notched up a few wins of late and have been competitive but now this North Queensland side is at full strength and having dealt with origin will win here on the  Coast. JT and Bowens combination will have the Titans pack on their heels especially after having to contain the Cowboys giants.
Cowboys by 14
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

St.George @ Manly / Newcastle @ Brisbane
DBL - DRAGONS PK / BRONCOS PK (x2) WIN

Taking a double here as I really like Manly at Brookie against the Dragons. StGeorge are awful away from home and are really struggling to put up  any points. I think this will be a close encounter as the Dragons defense is still one of the best. So Manly just to win for me.

Add to that the Broncos at home up against the out of sorts Knights. This one will get ugly I feel. The line has blown out from -10.5 to -13.5 and more at some books. Much the same as the Cowboys here, The Broncos are now over Origin one and have their full squad ready to roll. Broncos by plenty!
(2.45u @ 1.82 @ Sportingbet)

SATURDAY

Sth Sydney @ Canterbury
ML - RABBITOHS (x1) LOSS
(1.2u @ 1.85 @ Sportsbet)

NBA PLAYOFFS

WESTERN CONFERENCE FINALGAME 3

San Antonio @ OKC
ATS - SPURS +4.5 (x2) LOSS

The Spurs have been completely dominant in not just this series so far but for the entire post season. Clearly they do not get the praise the deserve. Winning 20 straight is unheard of in this league! Yet despite all that they go from -5 fav at home to +4.5 dog on the road? Really? Sure most expect OKC to get back in this or more so to grab a win at home but have you seen this Spurs team?

I'm not sure theirs much more OKC can do to be brutally honest. Their Big 3, KD, Westbrook and Harden stepped up last game and recorded 88pts between them! These are huge numbers especially against the Spurs! What they need is more production from their bench and these guys to heat up yet again. Big ask....

Plain and simple this Spurs team if anywhere near their best will beat anyone anywhere! I will say this, If OKC are ever gonna win a game and get beck in this series tonight is their night, But @ $1.60 or -4 ?the Books have over adjusted here for mine. Spurs are the value and could quite easily make it 3-0! happy to grab 4.5 start!
(2.2u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)