Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Thursday, March 24

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - BLUES -18.5 (x1.5)

Footy is BACK!!!!!


Once again its Carlton and Richmond who have the honors of opening the year on a Thursday night @ the MCG. Carlton have greater expectations this year, they will be looking to not only make the 8, but have some impact once they get there. They have added a couple of mature recruits in Laidler and Duigan who have slotted straight in the line up. Laidler is a good get as he had show enough promise as that 3rd tall down back or roaming wingman at Geelong. But as many have found out it was a tough side to crack into over the past 4 seasons. Duigan looks likely as well. The Tigers have also added a bit of experience in Houli and Grigg. These guys will be hungry to be in the top 22 all year and I think they will. Both will run through the midfield and help out youngsters Martin and Cotchin.

I do see some improvement coming from the Tigers this year but it won't be till say 2013 that this team has a real impact on the competition. Carlton on the other hand, time is now! this team will improve. Carlton will dominate the clearances and stoppages tonight and give their forwards more opportunities tonight. The likes of Gibbs, Murphy, Scotland, Simpson, Carrazzo, Lucas, Russell and leader Judd will have to much run and talent for the young tigers to stay with. Expect Waite, Walker to provide good targets and Betts and Garlett to have plenty of opportunities to post a big score against Richmond's inexperienced back posts Astbury and Rance. Richmond to have a good crack early but I expect Carlton to win by 5 or 6 goals in the end. Blues to continue the trend and cover here tonight!

(1.5u @ 2.0 @ Sportsbet)
Posted by at

1 comment:

  1. baywatch BetsMarch 24, 2011 at 9:02 PM

    WINNER!!!!!!!!!! +1.5 units

    Nice way to start the season! But it's true what they say, we had the bounce of the ball tonight going our way. That late shot with seconds remaining could have killed our bet.

    Carlton win by 20 but had to fight all the way to the death trailing at 3/4 time by 14. Good win

    ReplyDelete

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)