Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, April 3

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

DOUBLE - BOMBERS +24.5 / HAWKS ML (x2)

Taking a double here in today's games. Really liked the look of the Bombers so far in 2011! James Hird has got them hungry and more important confident. They are backing themselves and taking the game on. Their forward set up is outstanding! This will be the test though. Essendon have been terrible on the road in the past and I'm sure James would have addressed this. What I do like though is this game is being played @ ANZ Stadium. This is a very wide ground with plenty of space on the flanks compared to the smaller SCG which will suit Essendons game perfectly.

Sydney couldn't get the win week against Melbourne with the game ending in a draw. They seemed to me to be the better side and did lead for much of the day but just could put the Demons away. I think this young Bombers outfit will take it right ip to the swans and may just pinch the win. Happy to take a 4 goal start here.

The second leg of my double will be on the Hawks how take on the othe team involved in last weeks draw, Melbourne. The Hawks had their chances last week in Adelaide and really should have put the crows away! Franklin kicked 2 goals 6..... I don't expect that to happen two games in a row. The demons do welcome back Frawley and that is significant as he will be Buddy's most likely match up. This is a tough ask for young Chip playing his first real hit out for the year. Hawthorn will be strengthened by the return of new captain Hodge as well as Ellis and Guerra. Three handy inclusions. I still beleive this Hawthorn team will be right in the mix come September and they wouldn't want to start 2011 with 2 staright losses. I expect the Hawks to bounce back today and be to good for the still developing Demons. Hawks win SU.

(2.1u @ 1.97 @ Sportingbet)
Posted by at

1 comment:

  1. baywatch BetsApril 4, 2011 at 7:25 PM

    Winner!!!!!!! +2.0 units

    Bombers lose a close one. Game really could have gone either way. Stay within th 4 goal start.

    Hawks had a terrible first have in front of goal kicking just 3. Trailed at the half by 15. They turned it on in the second and completely dominate. Winning this one easily.

    ReplyDelete

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)