Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

FOLLOW TWITTER

I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, June 19

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ML - DOCKERS (x4)
ADDING QTR time
ATS - DOCKERS +36.5 (x2)


DOCKERS TO BREAK HOODOO AND WIN @ THE MCG!

Can Fremantle finally break their hoodoo and win in Melbourne @ the MCG? I believe they can. The Dockers come up against the most inconsistent side in the comp right now the Demons who are coming off an embarrassing loss on the big stage against an undermanned Collingwood side last week. This young group is still a long way away from challenging any of the top finalist and if the Dockers see themselves amongst the top 5-6 teams right now then this is a must win!

Just looking at the squads for this match up and both are still without their All Australian Ruckman and the Dockers received a double blow with Mundy and Ballantine both out also. On the flip side they will welcome back last years fairytale story and  much loved Michael Barlow! Just seeing him run out for his first senior game since breaking his leg almost 12 months ago will give this Dockers team a huge lift!

The Dockers just seem to have more harded bodies all over the park compared to Melbourne who still seem very undersized. Dockers defense with McPharlin, Grover, Duffield, Broughton and Ibbotson look solid. Up against the 3rd gamer Gawn, Watts, Green Jarrah should be able to contain. Then with Fyfe, Hill, DeBoer and Barlow leading the way in the midfield and Pav, Mayne, Bradley up forward just seem to have too much size for Frawley and Rivers who were found out against the Big Magpies forwards last week. Mark Harvey would have mad note of this and rest assured will stretch this back line by throwing Johnson, Clarke and Griffin down their also.

The last time Fremantle  won here at the MCG was in fact against Melbourne in 2007! If this team wants to be a contender and taken seriously this year they must beat Melbourne and more importantly win at the G! The Dockers to finally get the monkey off the back and end a 9 game drought @ the MCG today! Dockers win!

(3.85u @ 2.05 @ Sportingbet)
(2.3G @ 1.88 @ Sportsbet)
Posted by at

No comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)