Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Sunday, June 19

AFL OFFICIAL PLAY

ATS - SWANS +24.5 (x2)

Carlton has been receiving plenty of praise and are touted as a top 3 side and a genuine challenger and rightly so. The Blues have won 3 in a row and are getting their best players on the field with Kruezer back last week, but today will tell a tail as it's always harder 2nd game up. Their last 3 wins were over Brisbane, Port and Melbourne. This is a much tougher test! Sydney have been quietly going about their business winning 5 of their last 6! and sitting right amongst the top 8!

Some big inclusions this week with big Mummy back as well as Jack looking likely to play a full game after starting last week as the sub. These two along with A.Goodes are almost the most important players for the Swans! Having big Mummy back will give his onballers a lot of confidence as he offers much more than just hit outs. Mumford's second efforts are first class. With him and Jack back in the middle the Swans look far more dangerous. One big query on the Blues is how Jamison's ankle has pulled up after he was subbed off last week. For the Blues sake he is a must down back especially with the Swans talls Reid, Goodes, Seaby, Roberts-Thompson and of course Mumford.

Sydney has had the better of the Blues over the past 10 years winning 14 of 16 played. With Carlton winning their last meeting @ the SCG you can expect the Swans to be up for this one and looking for revenge! While I'm not sure they can get the points I do expect the Swans to make life very difficult for the Blues who have had a pretty easy month. Taking the Swans with the 4 goal start.

(2.35 @ 1.85 @ Centrebet)
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