Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Tuesday, December 27

NBA 2012

NBA YTD: 6-6-0 (-0.30u @ 50%)

Milwaukee Bucks At Charlotte Bobcats
ATS - BUCKS -3.5 (x1) LOSS

I like the Bucks to start their season off with a win in Charlotte today! I see Milwalkee as a team on the rise. The lockout actually did them a favour as they were crippled with injury last season. Bogut has had extra time to fully recover and will be keen on a big year! The bucks are a solid team, one of the best defensively, and with the addition of Jackson, Dunleavy & Udrih, they should pick up on offense.

The Bobcats are going through a development phase right now. With 2 rookies as likely starters based around Henderson, Diaw & Maggette it could be a long year for MJ. They traded both Wallace to Portland(during last season) and Jackson to the Bucks to advance in the draft. They are aware they have to suffer some pain now for long term gain. That pain will be felt right here. Quite simply Milwaukee are a much more talented side and I expect Jackson to have extra motivation to stick it up his former team tonight.

TIP: BUCKS by 12
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

Oklahoma City Thunder At Minnesota Timberwolves
1st H - THUNDER -2.5 (x1.5) WINNER


KD and the Thunder face B2B games to kick off their season. Normally a spot I avoid, but with the shortened season teams will be faced with a lot more of these than usual. OKC dominated Orlando last night and look to be a team full of confidence and on a mission! Their stars got plenty of rest during this game as it was over by 1/2 time.

They travel to Minnesota to face a young team with plenty of talent having added rookies Williams and Rubio. These two will join forces with Love and Beasely and will definately be on the improve in 2012. It will obviously take time but the Wolves are heading in the right direction finally. Having said that, tonight's opener against one of the top seeds in the league will prove to steep a task!

I have taken the Thunder 1st half as I expect them to carry on their form early and may tire later in the game being on B2B and traveling. Also I expect this young Wolves side to be a little rusty 1st game into their season. I still don't think the Thunder should have to much troubles winning their 2nd game of the year here.

TIP: THUNDER by 7 and cover well in the first half
(1.65u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)


Added:
2nd H - BULLS +9.5 (x1) WINNER
(Sportingbet had this as their 2nd H line? Am sure it's mention to be -7.5 and game line Bulls +9.5? either way I like the Bulls to get back into this one)
Game line is most likely BULLS +9.5 but should be Bulls +25.5! We will see how pans out

Bulls covered either way
Posted by at

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