Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, April 14

AFL

ROUND 3 - SATURDAY

Sydney @ Port Adelaide
ATS - SWANS -13.5 (x2) WIN
While Port have been impressive in their start to 2012, winning their opener against St.Kilda and competitive against the Bombers. I'm not convinced. They are still a relatively young side and with all young sides will have their ups and downs. They have been up for two straight weeks to start the season and rightly so but I feel a let down is on the cards here against the more matured Swans.
Port haven't beaten the Swans since the year they made the Grand final in 2007! Losing 6 straight. Sydney will hold no fears in taking on the Power in Adelaide as they have simply dominated them in recent years.
The Swans back six is just about as solid as it gets. The loss of LRT isn't ideal but Grundy and Richards continue to float under the radar and are extremely reliable and consistent. Shaw, Malceski and Mattner look to  be back to their best with their run and carry and they are proving once again very difficult to score against. Ports key forwards much like their team in general are very hot and cold. Shultz and Westoff  are the main culprits,  while Butcher and Stewart fall into the young bracket. These guys will find today tough.

On the back of Sydney's solid defense the Swans onballers are all extremely strong and hard at it. Mumord back is huge as he sets the tone for the likes of Kennedy, Jack, Goodes, Bolton, McVeigh, Hanneberry and Parker. With a great blend of inside and out I think this group will have a field day against the Powers onballers. Sydney will prove they are a top 5 side here and win well. Swans by 30!
(2.0u @ 2.01 @ Pinnacle)
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