Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, April 14

NBA

NBA: 117-115-10 (+8.23u @ 50.4%)

Boston @ Toronto
ATS - CELTICS -6.5 (x1) LOSS

The Celtics are in terrific form and have forced their way up in the Eastern Conference standings, currently holding onto the 4th seed. However it is extremely tight with Indiana,  Atlanta, Orlando and Phili all fighting for spots 3 through 7. So as with all these contenders every game is a must win from here on out.

Toronto are clearly done for the year and have dropped their past 4 straight. Missing Bargnani hasn't helped matters and the Raptors will feel the pinch again here. Boston are actually on revenge in this one also as Toronto beat them convincingly last time the meet at this very venue. With Boston having some big wins against top tier sides recently they will  need to come out with that same energy and take care of Toronto. With Playoffs in mind and the revenge angle I see no reason why they don't. Celtics win well tonight.
(1.1u @ 1.92 @ Sportsbet)

Phoenix @ Houston
ATS - ROCKETS -3.5 (x1) LOSS


Houston are just clinging on to the 7th seed in the West at the moment sitting just behind Dallas and Memphis and have Denver, Utah and Phoenix on their tail. They must keep winning to hold this spot and these type of home games are a must.

Having returned from a 4-0 road trip with some big wins against the Lakers and Bulls, Houston dropped their first game back home last start against one of their challengers Utah. This can happen on in the first game back from a road trip and the players have clearly recognised that. I suspect they will be highly motivated not to let yet another contender do the same again on their home floor.

With the return of Lowry the rockets now seem a complete team all bar Martin. Lowry working in tandem with Dragic is looking the goods and this will be needed to work over Steve Nash tonight. Also the combination of Scola, Dalembert and Camby down low is a great defensive area. Now with bench contributors in Carson, Lee, Patterson and Buddinger and this Rockets side is deep!

Houston won't loss 3 in a row on their home floor. They cover the 2 buckets against the Suns playing their 3rd game on the road tonight.
(1.1u @ 1.90 @ Betfair)

ADDED
Denver @ LA Lakers
1st Q - LAKERS -1 (x1) WIN
(1.1u @ 1.91 @ Pinnacle)

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