Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Saturday, April 21

AFL

FRIDAY NIGHT

Fremantle @ St.Kilda
ML - DOCKERS (x1) WIN

Fremantle are yet to prove themselves on the road and in particular here under the roof at Etihad winning just 3 of 21. While St.Kilda are right at home on this ground and against the Dockers in particular winning their past 8 matches! But things are different now....

All those wins was with Ross Lyon in charge. He is now conveniently across the other side of Australia coaching these Dockers against his old chargers. Would anybody know the ins and out of the saints players better? Sure Watters has brought his own game plan and is in the process of turning this side into his own, but its still very early days and Lyons inside info will be the difference in this one.

The Saints 2-1 record is a little flattering given those wins were against Gold Coast and the Bulldogs. Lets not forget their loss was to Port. Freo has had wins over the Cats and Lions and a loss in Sydney so much more formidable opponents. After Round ones results of Freo defeating Geelong and St.Kilda losing to Port I wonder what the line would look like?

Call this a gut feel but I like Freo to break their hoodoo and get that win in Melbourne here. They are at full strength and with Lyon in their corner are very Juicy @ $3.20 offered.
Dockers by 9
(0.5u @ 3.2 @ Betfair)
OTHER GAMES FOR RD 4
*GIANTS +90.5 (x1)
*EAGLES -4.5 (x1)
*CATS -33.5 (x2)
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