Welcome all..... I live in Australia and have been punting on Sports for the past 6 years. Looking forward to another sucessful year in 2013...... I enjoyed another sucessful Campaign in 2012 which was my 2nd year posting here. Detailed results can be seen below.

I bet on the AFL , NRL as well as US Basketball, the NBA & NCAA CBB. Here I will post my plays as a record with regular write ups. It is most important that you create a Twitter account and follow me @baywatchbets as all my plays are posted there first then followed up with a detailed post here. Be sure to follow twitter below!!!

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I play on ML, ATS, Quarters, Halves, Doubles and occasionally on Player Exotics. My goal is to hit close to 60%. However 53% will give a nice profit.

I bet in units. Though out the seasons I will play x1 unit, x1.5 units, x2 units and on occasions huge x3, x4 & even x5 unit plays! On average x1 unit should be 3.5% of your bankroll so adjust accordingly. This is very important as we are investing not gambling!

So for example your x1 unit may be to win $100, so I bet $110 @ odds of 1.91. Betting at these odds your unit outlay would be:

x1 unit play - $110 to win $100

x1.5 unit play - $165 to win $150

x2 unit play - $220 to win $200 etc.

I adjust the amount I bet according to the odds taken. for example playing x1 unit @ odds of 1.85 I then have to up my bet to $115 to win $100 and so on.

Patience and Bankroll management is the key.

Good luck all and enjoy the ride....

Friday, April 20

NRL

NRL INTERNATIONAL TEST
Australia @ New Zealand
ATS - KANGAROOS -8.5 (x1) LOSS

Australia takes on the All Blacks in New Zealand. Even with the Home ground advantage I can't see anything but a comfortable win for the Aussies. New Zealand has won just 5 of 30 tests against the Australians and have lost both math ups here @ Eden Park.
Australia has made a few forced changes since these sides last meet with Australia winning 20-10. With Cronk now wearing the 7 and JT taking Lockyers number 6.  Taylor starts and Tamou Debuts. Other wise its a very familiar squad. Smith will captain the side and he along with Melbourne teammates Slater and Cronk will cause plenty of head aches for the Kiwis.

New Zealand have been forced to change the halves pairing yet again with Johnson debuting for the injured Foran. Hoffman will also debut at the important fullback spot. While I love these two players and think they have enormous talent this is a huge step up from 1st grade and the Aussies will no doubt target them both tonight.

The Australian pack is a very daunting sight and I can't see New Zealand matching them. Gallen, Thiday, Taylor, Shillington etc will st the platform here for the backs Inglis, Hodges and Slater to do their thing. Simply to much talent to contain here tonight. I see the Kangaroos winning by 13+
(1.0u @ 1.99 @ Pinnacle)
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